Polessya 1-1 Kryvbas KR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.56
Over 2.5
34%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.06
No
63%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
60%
+5.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
40%
-5.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.1pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 28%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
0.83/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.19
-35% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polessya
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Kryvbas KR
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
30.11.2024 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 3-1 HT 1-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
30.10.2024 Polessya Polessya 2-1 HT 1-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKRK
13.05.2024 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 0-1 HT 0-1 Polessya Polessya UKR
06.11.2023 Polessya Polessya 1-1 HT 0-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polessya
1-1
AWAY Kryvbas KR
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Polessya vs Kryvbas KR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya and Kryvbas KR shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Polessya at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Polessya had 59% of the ball to Kryvbas KR's 41%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Polessya had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Polessya and 1.25 for Kryvbas KR.

What was the final score of Polessya vs Kryvbas KR?

Polessya 1-1 Kryvbas KR in the Ukraine - Premier League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs Kryvbas KR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Polessya 50%, draw 27%, Kryvbas KR 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Polessya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polessya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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