Finn Harps 1-3 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Oct 2024

Finn Harps
1-3
Wexford Youths
📅14/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Finn Harps vs Wexford Youths Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.52
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 30% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Finn Harps v Wexford Youths — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.09/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.53
-26% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
201 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Finn Harps vs Wexford Youths Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Wexford Youths
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.08.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
31.05.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-0 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
15.03.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-2 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
01.09.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
23.06.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-1 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
21.04.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths saw off Finn Harps 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Finn Harps at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Finn Harps had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Finn Harps and 0.83 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Wexford Youths?

Finn Harps 1-3 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 42%, draw 26%, Wexford Youths 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Finn Harps), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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