14/10/2024
·
23:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Curaçao vs Grenada Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Curaçao win — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
21%
Draw
22%
21%
Away Win
17%
43%
Under 2.5
46%
57%
Over 2.5
54%
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
50%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Curaçao v Grenada — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Curaçao
EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY
Grenada
EU Bookmakers 20%
+30% /
+30%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+114%
/
-70%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
57%
Ball Possession
43%
17
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
427 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
252 · 74%
48.0
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
9.0
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
Curaçao vs Grenada Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Curaçao
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Grenada
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
0.79
xG
1.10
59%
Ball Possession
41%
6
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
3
10
Corners
4
313
Passes
168
81%
Pass Accuracy
72%
14
Box Touches
21
19
Crosses
11
2
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
Curaçao 1-0 Grenada — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Curaçao
1-0
AWAY
Grenada
1.04
xG
0.42
50%
Ball Possession
50%
16
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
2
Corners
4
235
Passes
233
72%
Pass Accuracy
73%
21
Box Touches
12
15
Crosses
16
3
Yellow Cards
1
POST-MATCH
Curaçao vs Grenada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Curaçao edged past Grenada 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Curaçao as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Curaçao had 50% of the ball to Grenada's 50%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.04 to 0.42.
What was the final score of Curaçao vs Grenada?
Curaçao 1-0 Grenada in the CONCACAF Champions League on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Curaçao vs Grenada?
Before kick-off our model rated a Curaçao win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Curaçao 58%, draw 21%, Grenada 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curaçao) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Curaçao)
✗ Over 2.5
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CON
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14 Oct 2024