El Salvador 1-2 St. Vincent ve Grenadinler — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.38
Over
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
25%
5.04
2-3
44%
1.96
4-5
19%
2.75
6+
12%
7.17
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.04 — our 25% vs market 15.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
El Salvador win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.2pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Salvador EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Vincent ve Grenadinler EU Bookmakers 18%
-72% / -72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.66/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.42
-16% / -70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
468 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
28.0 Crosses 11.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Salvador
2W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Vincent ve Grenadinler
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.52 xG 1.09
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
325 Passes 226
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
11.10.2024 St. Vincent ve Grenadinler St. Vincent ve Grenadinler 2-3 HT 1-1 El Salvador El Salvador CON
09.06.2024 St. Vincent ve Grenadinler St. Vincent ve Grenadinler 1-3 HT 1-1 El Salvador El Salvador DKE
POST-MATCH El Salvador vs St. Vincent ve Grenadinler
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Vincent ve Grenadinler squeezed past El Salvador 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. El Salvador carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, El Salvador had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for El Salvador and 1.50 for St. Vincent ve Grenadinler.

What was the final score of El Salvador vs St. Vincent ve Grenadinler?

El Salvador 1-2 St. Vincent ve Grenadinler in the CONCACAF Champions League on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Salvador vs St. Vincent ve Grenadinler?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Salvador win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split El Salvador 55%, draw 23%, St. Vincent ve Grenadinler 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (El Salvador) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CON More CONCACAF Champions League
14 Oct 2024
23:00 Curaçao vs Grenada Analysis →
23:00 Porto Riko vs Sint Maarten Analysis →