St. Vincent ve Grenadinler 1-3 El Salvador — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.18
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
64%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.9
No
64%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.77
6+ Goals
7%
7.41
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.95 — our 29% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
44%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
11%
+6.3pp
18%
Draw
15%
+3.6pp
64%
Away Win
74%
-9.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
49%
-12.3pp
64%
BTTS No
51%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Vincent ve Grenadinler EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY El Salvador EU Bookmakers 78%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.06/3.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.55/0.48
+142% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -19%
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
228 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Vincent ve Grenadinler
1-3
AWAY El Salvador
0.68 xG 1.52
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 12
257 Passes 379
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
7 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Vincent ve Grenadinler vs El Salvador
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Salvador beat St. Vincent ve Grenadinler 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had El Salvador as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St. Vincent ve Grenadinler had 41% of the ball to El Salvador's 59%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 0.68 to 1.52.

What was the final score of St. Vincent ve Grenadinler vs El Salvador?

St. Vincent ve Grenadinler 1-3 El Salvador in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Vincent ve Grenadinler vs El Salvador?

Before kick-off our model rated an El Salvador win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split St. Vincent ve Grenadinler 18%, draw 18%, El Salvador 64%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Salvador) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (El Salvador) ✗ BTTS No
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