Belize 0-4 Nikaragua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
6.35
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
44%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.54
2-3 Goals
47%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.38
6+ Goals
7%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 25% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
13%
+18.7pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
44%
Away Win
67%
-22.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belize EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Nikaragua EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belize
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nikaragua
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 22
0 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.06.2021 Nikaragua Nikaragua 3-0 HT 1-0 Belize Belize DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belize
0-4
AWAY Nikaragua
1.00 xG 4.09
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 2
197 Passes 426
77% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Belize vs Nikaragua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nikaragua cruised past Belize 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nikaragua as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Belize had 36% of the ball to Nikaragua's 64%, shots finished 10-26, expected goals 1.00 to 4.09.

What was the final score of Belize vs Nikaragua?

Belize 0-4 Nikaragua in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belize vs Nikaragua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nikaragua win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Belize 31%, draw 25%, Nikaragua 44%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nikaragua), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nikaragua) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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