Aruba 0-2 Curaçao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
7.95
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
65%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.96
Over 2.5
48%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.75
No
60%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
6.82
2-3 Goals
43%
2.17
4-5 Goals
21%
2.48
6+ Goals
9%
4.97
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.82 — our 27% vs market 10.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
27%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
10%
+4.8pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.9pp
65%
Away Win
75%
-9.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
30%
+21.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
70%
-21.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
53%
-13.4pp
60%
BTTS No
47%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aruba EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Curaçao EU Bookmakers 80%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.00/7.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-100% / -69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -61%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 451 · 84%
1.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
2.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aruba
0-2
AWAY Curaçao
0.37 xG 3.01
24% Ball Possession 76%
4 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
104 Passes 485
61% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 53
4 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Aruba vs Curaçao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curaçao saw off Aruba 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Curaçao as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aruba had 24% of the ball to Curaçao's 76%, shots finished 4-27, expected goals 0.37 to 3.01.

What was the final score of Aruba vs Curaçao?

Aruba 0-2 Curaçao in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aruba vs Curaçao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Curaçao win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Aruba 14%, draw 20%, Curaçao 65%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curaçao), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Curaçao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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