Moritanya 0-1 Senegal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.78
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
52%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.78
6+ Goals
8%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 30% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+9.8pp
28%
Draw
20%
+8.2pp
52%
Away Win
70%
-18.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.6pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moritanya EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Senegal EU Bookmakers 75%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.49
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -21%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 474 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.0
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moritanya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Senegal
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 1.13
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 7
237 Passes 117
71% Pass Accuracy 54%
12 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.01.2023 Senegal Senegal 1-0 HT 1-0 Moritanya Moritanya AUŞ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moritanya
0-1
AWAY Senegal
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Moritanya vs Senegal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Senegal squeezed past Moritanya 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Senegal as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Moritanya had 39% of the ball to Senegal's 61%, shots finished 8-6.

What was the final score of Moritanya vs Senegal?

Moritanya 0-1 Senegal in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moritanya vs Senegal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Senegal win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Moritanya 20%, draw 28%, Senegal 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Senegal), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Senegal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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