Cibuti 1-1 Etiyopya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
6.35
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
46%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.12
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.75
6+ Goals
12%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 33% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
13%
+11.0pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.9pp
46%
Away Win
66%
-19.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cibuti EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Etiyopya EU Bookmakers 70%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
227 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cibuti
1-1
AWAY Etiyopya
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cibuti vs Etiyopya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cibuti and Etiyopya shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Etiyopya at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cibuti had 32% of the ball to Etiyopya's 68%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Cibuti vs Etiyopya?

Cibuti 1-1 Etiyopya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cibuti vs Etiyopya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Etiyopya win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cibuti 24%, draw 30%, Etiyopya 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Etiyopya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etiyopya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
9 Jun 2024
03:00 Aruba vs Curaçao Analysis →
03:00 Belize vs Nikaragua Analysis →
16:00 Sao Tome ve Principe vs Liberya Analysis →
19:00 Moritanya vs Senegal Analysis →
19:00 Namibya vs Tunus Analysis →
19:00 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti vs Togo Analysis →