St. Vincent ve Grenadinler 2-3 El Salvador — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
6.35
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
51%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.95
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
7%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 31% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+8.5pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.0pp
51%
Away Win
68%
-16.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Vincent ve Grenadinler EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY El Salvador EU Bookmakers 72%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.37/1.31
+36% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -44%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
271 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
Crosses 20.9
Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Vincent ve Grenadinler
0W-0D-1L
AWAY El Salvador
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.68 xG 1.52
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 12
257 Passes 379
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
7 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.06.2024 St. Vincent ve Grenadinler St. Vincent ve Grenadinler 1-3 HT 1-1 El Salvador El Salvador DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Vincent ve Grenadinler
2-3
AWAY El Salvador
1.50 xG 1.53
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
194 Passes 271
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH St. Vincent ve Grenadinler vs El Salvador
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Salvador squeezed past St. Vincent ve Grenadinler 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had El Salvador as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St. Vincent ve Grenadinler had 45% of the ball to El Salvador's 55%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.50 to 1.53.

What was the final score of St. Vincent ve Grenadinler vs El Salvador?

St. Vincent ve Grenadinler 2-3 El Salvador in the CONCACAF Champions League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Vincent ve Grenadinler vs El Salvador?

Before kick-off our model rated an El Salvador win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split St. Vincent ve Grenadinler 21%, draw 27%, El Salvador 51%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Salvador) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (El Salvador) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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