Guadeloupe 0-1 Martinik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 30% vs market 25.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guadeloupe EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Martinik EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guadeloupe
0-1
AWAY Martinik
0.60 xG 1.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
247 Passes 289
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guadeloupe vs Martinik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Martinik nicked a narrow win over Guadeloupe 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Guadeloupe at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Guadeloupe had 47% of the ball to Martinik's 53%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 0.60 to 1.60.

What was the final score of Guadeloupe vs Martinik?

Guadeloupe 0-1 Martinik in the CONCACAF Champions League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guadeloupe vs Martinik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guadeloupe win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Guadeloupe 47%, draw 26%, Martinik 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Guadeloupe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guadeloupe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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