Nikaragua 0-2 Jamaika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.09
6+ Goals
11%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
27%
+17.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
32%
Away Win
47%
-15.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nikaragua EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamaika EU Bookmakers 51%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.62
+64% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -35%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
224 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nikaragua
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Jamaika
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 16
09.09.2015 Nikaragua Nikaragua 0-2 HT 0-1 Jamaika Jamaika DKE
05.09.2015 Jamaika Jamaika 2-3 HT 0-2 Nikaragua Nikaragua DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nikaragua
0-2
AWAY Jamaika
0.55 xG 1.53
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
317 Passes 283
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nikaragua vs Jamaika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamaika got the better of Nikaragua 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nikaragua at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Nikaragua had 54% of the ball to Jamaika's 46%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 0.55 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nikaragua and 2.00 for Jamaika.

What was the final score of Nikaragua vs Jamaika?

Nikaragua 0-2 Jamaika in the CONCACAF Champions League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nikaragua vs Jamaika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nikaragua win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nikaragua 44%, draw 25%, Jamaika 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nikaragua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nikaragua) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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