Sint Maarten vs Porto Riko Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sint Maarten v Porto Riko — Team-Based Signals
Sint Maarten 3-2 Porto Riko — Actual Match Statistics
Sint Maarten squeezed past Porto Riko 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Porto Riko at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Sint Maarten had 32% of the ball to Porto Riko's 68%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.59 to 0.94 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sint Maarten's control.
What was the final score of Sint Maarten vs Porto Riko?
Sint Maarten 3-2 Porto Riko in the CONCACAF Champions League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sint Maarten vs Porto Riko?
Before kick-off our model rated an Porto Riko win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sint Maarten 18%, draw 27%, Porto Riko 54%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Porto Riko) went the other way.