Porto Riko 2-1 Sint Maarten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.59
Over
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
20%
5.74
2-3
35%
2.03
4-5
26%
2.62
6+
19%
6.06
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.74 — our 20% vs market 13.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Porto Riko win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-1.1pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.4pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto Riko EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Sint Maarten EU Bookmakers 21%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+26% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.4 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto Riko
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sint Maarten
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.94 xG 2.59
68% Ball Possession 32%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 3
395 Passes 166
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2024 Sint Maarten Sint Maarten 3-2 HT 1-1 Porto Riko Porto Riko CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto Riko
2-1
AWAY Sint Maarten
1.12 xG 0.93
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 0
283 Passes 343
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 19
5 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Porto Riko vs Sint Maarten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto Riko nicked a narrow win over Sint Maarten 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Porto Riko as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Porto Riko had 45% of the ball to Sint Maarten's 55%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.12 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Porto Riko vs Sint Maarten?

Porto Riko 2-1 Sint Maarten in the CONCACAF Champions League on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto Riko vs Sint Maarten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porto Riko win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Porto Riko 60%, draw 20%, Sint Maarten 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto Riko), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Porto Riko) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CON More CONCACAF Champions League
14 Oct 2024
03:00 El Salvador vs St. Vincent ve Grenadinler Analysis →
23:00 Curaçao vs Grenada Analysis →