Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 30%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
0.75/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.38
-46% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Platense
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
12.08.2024 Platense Platense 0-2 HT 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
15.04.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 5-2 HT 2-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
12.02.2024 Platense Platense 3-2 HT 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
27.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
02.10.2023 Platense Platense 1-2 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco and Platense shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fuerte San Francisco had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.20 for Platense.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Platense?

Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 Platense in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fuerte San Francisco win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 38%, draw 28%, Platense 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fuerte San Francisco), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fuerte San Francisco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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