Carabobo 1-1 Deportivo Tachira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.14/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.94
+21% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +87%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
13.5 Crosses 17.4
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.12 xG 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
322 Passes 255
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.04.2024 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-0 HT 1-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
18.09.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
26.02.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 1-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
15.08.2022 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
10.04.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
55% Ball Possession 45%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Deportivo Tachira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo and Deportivo Tachira shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Carabobo had 55% of the ball to Deportivo Tachira's 45%, shots finished 5-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Carabobo and 1.20 for Deportivo Tachira.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Deportivo Tachira?

Carabobo 1-1 Deportivo Tachira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Deportivo Tachira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 38%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Carabobo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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