UCV 1-3 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.41/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.10
+19% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
20.3 Crosses 18.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Caracas FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.73 xG 1.02
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
334 Passes 221
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-2 HT 2-2 UCV UCV VEN
17.09.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
26.02.2023 UCV UCV 0-2 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
19.06.2022 UCV UCV 1-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
29.05.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-2 HT 0-2 UCV UCV VEN
09.09.2021 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
1-3
AWAY Caracas FC
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH UCV vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC got the better of UCV 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Caracas FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UCV had 34% of the ball to Caracas FC's 66%, shots finished 6-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UCV had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UCV and 1.00 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of UCV vs Caracas FC?

UCV 1-3 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split UCV 40%, draw 27%, Caracas FC 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UCV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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