İtalya U21 5-1 Ermenistan U21 — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — European U21, 14 Oct 2025

📅14/10/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 16:50
Match Result
HomeVIEW
89%
1.1
Draw
6%
8.12
Away
5%
11.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under
18%
3.46
Over
82%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
7%
9.38
2-3
30%
2.5
4-5
36%
2.24
6+
27%
3.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
72%
1/2
1%
1/X
1%
X/1
14%
X/2
2%
X/X
3%
2/1
3%
2/2
3%
2/X
1%
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME İtalya U21 The Market 91%
Signal
AWAY Ermenistan U21 The Market 8%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
3.07 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.47
0.69 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 3.23
Average Attack Strength Bad
Strong Defense Strength Weak
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
522 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 75%
45 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya U21
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ermenistan U21
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.59 xG 0.32
69% Ball Possession 31%
28 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
430 Passes 142
86% Pass Accuracy 67%
44 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2019 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 6-0 HT 3-0 Ermenistan U21 Ermenistan U21 U21
14.10.2019 Ermenistan U21 Ermenistan U21 0-1 HT 0-1 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya U21
5 - 1
AWAY Ermenistan U21
4.32 xG 1.66
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 0
391 Passes 202
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
49 Box Touches 7
39 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW İtalya U21 vs Ermenistan U21
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

İtalya U21 dismantled Ermenistan U21 5-1. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İtalya U21 as the likeliest winner at 89%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (82%) came in, no to both teams scoring (60%) didn't.

Under the surface, İtalya U21 had 63% of the ball to Ermenistan U21's 37%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 4.32 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, İtalya U21 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for İtalya U21 and 0.00 for Ermenistan U21.

İtalya U21 vs Ermenistan U21 Result & Final Score

İtalya U21 5 - 1 Ermenistan U21 in the European U21 on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

İtalya U21 vs Ermenistan U21 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 89%, with the full match-result split İtalya U21 89%, draw 6%, Ermenistan U21 5%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İtalya U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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