Spartak Trnava 1-1 Podbrezova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - Cup, 14 Nov 2024

📅14/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-12.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Podbrezova EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.86/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/1.00
-18% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -81% / +129%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Trnava
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Podbrezova
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.69 xG 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
268 Passes 384
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-4 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
17.04.2024 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLOVK
03.04.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-0 HT 1-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLOVK
26.11.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 1-2 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
20.08.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 2-0 HT 1-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
13.05.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-3 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Trnava
1-1
AWAY Podbrezova
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Trnava vs Podbrezova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Trnava and Podbrezova couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Trnava at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Spartak Trnava had 50% of the ball to Podbrezova's 50%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Trnava had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Spartak Trnava and 0.17 for Podbrezova.

What was the final score of Spartak Trnava vs Podbrezova?

Spartak Trnava 1-1 Podbrezova in the Slovakia - Cup on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Trnava vs Podbrezova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Spartak Trnava 47%, draw 27%, Podbrezova 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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