Valladolid 0-1 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 14 Nov 2025

📅14/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valladolid EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
1.46/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.06
+29% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +41%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
28.3 Crosses 15.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valladolid
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Las Palmas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.69 xG 0.81
52% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 Passes 309
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2025 Valladolid Valladolid 1-1 HT 0-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
07.12.2024 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-1 HT 1-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
19.03.2022 Valladolid Valladolid 0-1 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
15.12.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 3-1 HT 1-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İSPK
15.08.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
13.06.2015 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valladolid
0-1
AWAY Las Palmas
1.09 xG 0.41
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
360 Passes 273
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
41 Box Touches 9
35 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valladolid vs Las Palmas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas nicked a narrow win over Valladolid 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Las Palmas made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Valladolid had 56% of the ball to Las Palmas's 44%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.09 to 0.41 — the balance of chances actually favoured Valladolid.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Palmas led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Valladolid and 1.00 for Las Palmas.

What was the final score of Valladolid vs Las Palmas?

Valladolid 0-1 Las Palmas in the Spain - 2nd Division on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Las Palmas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valladolid win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 39%, draw 29%, Las Palmas 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Valladolid) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valladolid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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