Ermenistan U21 1-2 Karadağ U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 14 Nov 2025

📅14/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
54%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.0pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.4pp
54%
Away Win
50%
+3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ermenistan U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Karadağ U21 EU Bookmakers 55%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.59/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.39
-49% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ermenistan U21
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Karadağ U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
22.03.2024 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 0-0 HT 0-0 Ermenistan U21 Ermenistan U21 U21
12.09.2023 Ermenistan U21 Ermenistan U21 0-1 HT 0-0 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 U21
10.09.2012 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 0-0 HT 0-0 Ermenistan U21 Ermenistan U21 U21
07.06.2011 Ermenistan U21 Ermenistan U21 4-1 HT 1-0 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ermenistan U21
1-2
AWAY Karadağ U21
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ermenistan U21 vs Karadağ U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karadağ U21 squeezed past Ermenistan U21 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karadağ U21 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ermenistan U21 had 57% of the ball to Karadağ U21's 43%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ermenistan U21 and 0.50 for Karadağ U21.

What was the final score of Ermenistan U21 vs Karadağ U21?

Ermenistan U21 1-2 Karadağ U21 in the European U21 on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ermenistan U21 vs Karadağ U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karadağ U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ermenistan U21 26%, draw 20%, Karadağ U21 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karadağ U21) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karadağ U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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