Polonya U21 vs İtalya U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Polonya U21 v İtalya U21 — Team-Based Signals
Polonya U21 vs İtalya U21 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Polonya U21
U21
1-2
İtalya U21
HAZ
Polonya U21 2-1 İtalya U21 — Actual Match Statistics
Polonya U21 nicked a narrow win over İtalya U21 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was İtalya U21 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, Polonya U21 had 48% of the ball to İtalya U21's 52%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 1.19 to 2.11 — the balance of chances actually favoured İtalya U21.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Polonya U21 and 1.00 for İtalya U21.
What was the final score of Polonya U21 vs İtalya U21?
Polonya U21 2-1 İtalya U21 in the European U21 on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Polonya U21 vs İtalya U21?
Before kick-off our model rated an İtalya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Polonya U21 31%, draw 25%, İtalya U21 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İtalya U21) went the other way.