Türkiye U21 1-0 Ukrayna U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 14 Nov 2025

📅14/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkiye U21 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ukrayna U21 EU Bookmakers 31%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
0.45/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.73
-62% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / +45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.0 Crosses 11.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkiye U21
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Ukrayna U21
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 12
Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
24.03.2017 Türkiye U21 Türkiye U21 1-1 HT 1-0 Ukrayna U21 Ukrayna U21 HAZ
13.11.2014 Ukrayna U21 Ukrayna U21 2-0 HT 0-0 Türkiye U21 Türkiye U21 HAZ
12.08.2009 Ukrayna U21 Ukrayna U21 1-0 HT 1-0 Türkiye U21 Türkiye U21 VLT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Türkiye U21
1-0
AWAY Ukrayna U21
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 7
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Türkiye U21 vs Ukrayna U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Türkiye U21 squeezed past Ukrayna U21 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Türkiye U21 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Türkiye U21 had 41% of the ball to Ukrayna U21's 59%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ukrayna U21 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Türkiye U21 and 1.33 for Ukrayna U21.

What was the final score of Türkiye U21 vs Ukrayna U21?

Türkiye U21 1-0 Ukrayna U21 in the European U21 on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkiye U21 vs Ukrayna U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Türkiye U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Türkiye U21 43%, draw 23%, Ukrayna U21 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Türkiye U21), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Türkiye U21) ✓ Under 2.5
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