Ayr United vs Falkirk — Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds

Ayr United
5-2 HT 3-2
Falkirk
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.57
Draw
25%
3.1
Away
47%
1.59
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.63
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 29% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.45
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
10%
15.4
X/1
8%
8.1
X/2
14%
4.12
X/X
10%
4.68
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.52
2/X
6%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
47%
Away Win
51%
-3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.2pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 55%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
0.99/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.70
+0% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +39%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
10.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.4 Crosses 4.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Falkirk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
2 Crosses 6
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 2-0 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
16.07.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKLK
05.09.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-1 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCK
13.03.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 2-1 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKK
20.07.2019 Ayr United Ayr United 2-1 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKLK
08.03.2019 Falkirk Falkirk 2-0 HT 2-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
FAQ Ayr United vs Falkirk
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Ayr United ran out comfortable winners over Falkirk 5-2 in the Scotland - Championship on 14 Dec 2024. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 42%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ayr United and 1.33 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Falkirk?

Ayr United 5-2 Falkirk in the Scotland - Championship on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 28%, draw 25%, Falkirk 47%. The final score 5-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Falkirk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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