AFC Sudbury 1-1 Hitchin Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.23
Over
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
45%
4-5
27%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hitchin Town EU Bookmakers 30%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
0.52/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.60
-70% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hitchin Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.03.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-0 HT 1-0 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
28.10.2023 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 2-1 HT 1-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Hitchin Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Sudbury and Hitchin Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Sudbury at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Sudbury and 1.00 for Hitchin Town.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Hitchin Town?

AFC Sudbury 1-1 Hitchin Town in the England - Non League Premier on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Hitchin Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Sudbury win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 49%, draw 26%, Hitchin Town 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Sudbury), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Sudbury) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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