Alvechurch 0-1 Spalding United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Spalding United EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.39/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/3.51
-15% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / -55%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Spalding United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
05.10.2024 Spalding United Spalding United 1-2 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNFAT
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs Spalding United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spalding United edged past Alvechurch 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Alvechurch at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs Spalding United?

Alvechurch 0-1 Spalding United in the England - Non League Premier on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs Spalding United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 44%, draw 27%, Spalding United 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alvechurch), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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