CD Castellon 4-1 Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.22
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
30%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.64
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.7
X/1
17%
3.59
X/2
7%
16.4
X/X
7%
6.92
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
10%
12.9
2/X
8%
20.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-11.8pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.2pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Cartagena EU Bookmakers 15%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.39/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.63
-99% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
31.0 Crosses 13.6
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Cartagena
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.40 xG 0.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
302 Passes 330
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2021 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-2 HT 0-1 Cartagena Cartagena İSPK
09.05.2021 Cartagena Cartagena 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
15.11.2020 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-1 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
20.02.2010 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-2 HT 2-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
19.09.2009 Cartagena Cartagena 2-1 HT 2-1 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
4-1
AWAY Cartagena
3.50 xG 1.47
73% Ball Possession 27%
23 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 1
548 Passes 147
90% Pass Accuracy 66%
47 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon cruised past Cartagena 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Castellon as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, CD Castellon had 73% of the ball to Cartagena's 27%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 3.50 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cartagena led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for CD Castellon and 1.60 for Cartagena.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Cartagena?

CD Castellon 4-1 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 57%, draw 21%, Cartagena 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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