Real Oviedo 2-0 Granada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 14 Dec 2024

Real Oviedo
2-0 HT 0-0
Granada
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Real Oviedo vs Granada Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.52
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.37
6+ Goals
9%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.77
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.5
X/1
17%
4.23
X/2
11%
7.52
X/X
11%
4.13
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
10%
6.19
2/X
7%
15.15
Value flag · 1/X at 14.5 — our 11% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Oviedo v Granada — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +13%
1.36/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.33
+9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
24.2 Crosses 16.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2

Real Oviedo vs Granada Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Granada
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.79 xG 0.84
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
186 Passes 384
63% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
26.03.2023 Granada Granada 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
22.12.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İSPK
06.11.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS2
05.05.2019 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS2
15.12.2018 Granada Granada 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
18.03.2018 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-1 HT 1-1 Granada Granada İS2

Real Oviedo 2-0 Granada — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
2-0
AWAY Granada
1.42 xG 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 8
247 Passes 335
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Granada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo got the better of Granada 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Oviedo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 44% of the ball to Granada's 56%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.42 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Oviedo and 0.67 for Granada.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Granada?

Real Oviedo 2-0 Granada in the Spain - 2nd Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Granada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 44%, draw 29%, Granada 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Oviedo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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