Eibar 2-1 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.14
6+ Goals
9%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.33
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
13%
4.7
X/2
10%
6.57
X/X
16%
3.57
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
13%
5.35
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.3pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.37/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.15
+32% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
23.4 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.00 xG 0.98
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
325 Passes 305
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Eibar Eibar 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
21.10.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-3 HT 2-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
21.04.2023 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
03.10.2022 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
30.04.2022 Eibar Eibar 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
06.12.2021 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
2-1
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.20 xG 0.22
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
376 Passes 374
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar nicked a narrow win over Real Zaragoza 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Eibar made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eibar had 48% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 52%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.20 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Eibar and 0.67 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Real Zaragoza?

Eibar 2-1 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Eibar 39%, draw 28%, Real Zaragoza 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eibar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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