Atletico Madrid II 0-1 Sevilla II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+10.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -7%
1.85/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.79
+10% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
0-1
AWAY Sevilla II
71% Ball Possession 29%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs Sevilla II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla II squeezed past Atletico Madrid II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Madrid II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 71% of the ball to Sevilla II's 29%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Sevilla II?

Atletico Madrid II 0-1 Sevilla II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Sevilla II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 49%, draw 25%, Sevilla II 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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