Talavera CF 0-1 Getafe II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.54
Over
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
39%
4-5
16%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe II EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.32/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.02
+8% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talavera CF
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Getafe II
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.01.2024 Talavera CF Talavera CF 3-0 HT 1-0 Getafe II Getafe II İS4
10.09.2023 Getafe II Getafe II 1-4 HT 0-3 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
14.02.2021 Talavera CF Talavera CF 2-2 HT 0-2 Getafe II Getafe II İS3
20.12.2020 Getafe II Getafe II 0-1 HT 0-1 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
22.12.2019 Talavera CF Talavera CF 2-1 HT 1-1 Getafe II Getafe II İS3
POST-MATCH Talavera CF vs Getafe II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe II edged past Talavera CF 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Getafe II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Talavera CF had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Talavera CF and 0.80 for Getafe II.

What was the final score of Talavera CF vs Getafe II?

Talavera CF 0-1 Getafe II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs Getafe II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 38%, draw 29%, Getafe II 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Talavera CF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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