Talavera CF 3-0 Getafe II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
38%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.0pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe II EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.09/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.19
-22% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talavera CF
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Getafe II
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.09.2023 Getafe II Getafe II 1-4 HT 0-3 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
14.02.2021 Talavera CF Talavera CF 2-2 HT 0-2 Getafe II Getafe II İS3
20.12.2020 Getafe II Getafe II 0-1 HT 0-1 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
22.12.2019 Talavera CF Talavera CF 2-1 HT 1-1 Getafe II Getafe II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Talavera CF
3-0
AWAY Getafe II
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Talavera CF vs Getafe II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talavera CF ran out comfortable winners over Getafe II 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Talavera CF as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Talavera CF had 54% of the ball to Getafe II's 46%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Talavera CF had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Talavera CF and 1.00 for Getafe II.

What was the final score of Talavera CF vs Getafe II?

Talavera CF 3-0 Getafe II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs Getafe II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 45%, draw 25%, Getafe II 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talavera CF), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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