Juventus 2-2 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
12%
14.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.52 — our 24% vs market 22.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.73
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
20.85
X/1
20%
3.37
X/2
6%
15.5
X/X
8%
5.85
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
5%
13.6
2/X
9%
22.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
67%
-7.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia EU Bookmakers 15%
+4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.77/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.04
-6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
468 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
19.7 Crosses 12.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Venezia
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.83 xG 0.53
55% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
410 Passes 310
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.05.2022 Juventus Juventus 2-1 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
11.12.2021 Venezia Venezia 1-1 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
13.01.2002 Venezia Venezia 1-2 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
26.08.2001 Juventus Juventus 4-0 HT 3-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
2-2
AWAY Venezia
2.19 xG 0.45
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
620 Passes 256
91% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Venezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus and Venezia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Juventus at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Juventus had 69% of the ball to Venezia's 31%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 2.19 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Juventus and 0.75 for Venezia.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Venezia?

Juventus 2-2 Venezia in the Italy - Serie A on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Venezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Juventus 59%, draw 25%, Venezia 16%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Juventus), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juventus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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