Padova Calcio 2-0 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 29% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.1pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.7pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 16%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.68/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.39
-5% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
393 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Lumezzane
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-1 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
03.12.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-1 HT 1-1 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
30.11.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-0 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
2-0
AWAY Lumezzane
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio got the better of Lumezzane 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 56% of the ball to Lumezzane's 44%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Padova Calcio and 0.67 for Lumezzane.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Lumezzane?

Padova Calcio 2-0 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 53%, draw 24%, Lumezzane 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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