Lumezzane 1-1 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.62
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.2pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 54%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.75/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.95
+65% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
233 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Padova Calcio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-1 HT 1-1 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
30.11.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-0 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
1-1
AWAY Padova Calcio
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane and Padova Calcio shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Padova Calcio at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lumezzane had 53% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 47%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lumezzane and 1.50 for Padova Calcio.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Padova Calcio?

Lumezzane 1-1 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 24%, draw 28%, Padova Calcio 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Padova Calcio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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