Darmstadt 98 5-1 Kaiserslautern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 14 Dec 2024

Darmstadt 98
5-1 HT 2-0
Kaiserslautern
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Darmstadt 98 vs Kaiserslautern Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.27
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
8.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.52
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.3
X/1
17%
4.62
X/2
8%
8.01
X/X
12%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.1
2/2
14%
5.42
2/X
5%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Darmstadt 98 v Kaiserslautern — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.53/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.58
-18% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
21.8 Crosses 17.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Darmstadt 98 vs Kaiserslautern Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kaiserslautern
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.76 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
308 Passes 304
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.03.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-0 HT 2-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
11.09.2022 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-3 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
21.02.2018 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-2 HT 0-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
04.08.2017 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-1 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
02.05.2015 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 3-2 HT 3-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
21.11.2014 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-0 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2

Darmstadt 98 5-1 Kaiserslautern — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
5-1
AWAY Kaiserslautern
4.43 xG 0.85
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
371 Passes 332
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Kaiserslautern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 swept aside Kaiserslautern 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Darmstadt 98 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 53% of the ball to Kaiserslautern's 47%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 4.43 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 1.33 for Kaiserslautern.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Kaiserslautern?

Darmstadt 98 5-1 Kaiserslautern in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Kaiserslautern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darmstadt 98 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 44%, draw 28%, Kaiserslautern 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darmstadt 98), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Darmstadt 98) ✓ BTTS Yes
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