Schalke 04 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
42%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.44
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
27.0
1/X
10%
12.3
X/1
11%
5.75
X/2
13%
6.12
X/X
9%
5.17
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
20%
3.76
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.0 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+8.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.5pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 38%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +20%
1.44/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.34
+5% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
23.5 Crosses 18.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schalke 04
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.30 xG 1.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
285 Passes 350
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
25.11.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 5-3 HT 3-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
13.02.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 HT 0-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
28.08.2021 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 3-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
27.05.2020 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
09.11.2019 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 3-3 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schalke 04
1-1
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
2.68 xG 0.81
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
415 Passes 275
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 12
35 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schalke 04 and Fortuna Düsseldorf shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Düsseldorf at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Schalke 04 had 59% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 41%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.68 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Schalke 04 and 2.33 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Schalke 04 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 32%, draw 26%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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