Lommel United 1-2 SV Zulte Waregem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 28% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.33/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.99
+5% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.2
14.7 Crosses 24.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
2W-2D-1L
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
0.91 xG 1.08
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
449 Passes 292
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 Lommel United Lommel United 1-0 HT 0-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL2
27.04.2024 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-1 HT 0-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
10.02.2024 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 0-3 HT 0-2 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
27.10.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 1-1 HT 0-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL2
09.11.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 0-1 HT 0-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
1-2
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
0.73 xG 0.99
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
443 Passes 362
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs SV Zulte Waregem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Zulte Waregem squeezed past Lommel United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day SV Zulte Waregem made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lommel United had 54% of the ball to SV Zulte Waregem's 46%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.73 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lommel United had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Lommel United and 0.60 for SV Zulte Waregem.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Lommel United 1-2 SV Zulte Waregem in the Belgium - 1st Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Before kick-off our model rated an SV Zulte Waregem win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 35%, draw 26%, SV Zulte Waregem 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
14 Dec 2024
22:00 RSC Anderlecht II vs Boussu Dour Borinage Analysis →