Kortrijk 0-3 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 14 Dec 2024

Kortrijk
0-3 HT 0-3
Dender EH
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Kortrijk vs Dender EH Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.71
Over 2.5
35%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.77
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.96
6+ Goals
7%
18.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 31% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.86
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
18%
4.45
X/2
14%
7.17
X/X
19%
4.34
2/1
10%
27.5
2/2
6%
5.59
2/X
4%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.9pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.0pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
55%
+10.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
45%
-10.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kortrijk v Dender EH — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.61/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.95
-12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -98% / +51%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 82%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
25.3 Crosses 21.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Kortrijk vs Dender EH Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Dender EH
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.80 xG 1.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
336 Passes 359
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 26
27 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
10.08.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 4-1 HT 2-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
01.11.2023 Dender EH Dender EH 1-1 HT 1-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEK
11.04.2009 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-2 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
15.11.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL

Kortrijk 0-3 Dender EH — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
0-3
AWAY Dender EH
0.72 xG 1.64
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
506 Passes 285
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 14
35 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH ran out comfortable winners over Kortrijk 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kortrijk at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kortrijk had 62% of the ball to Dender EH's 38%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.72 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dender EH led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Kortrijk and 2.00 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs Dender EH?

Kortrijk 0-3 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kortrijk win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 43%, draw 32%, Dender EH 25%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kortrijk), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kortrijk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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