OH Leuven 1-0 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.94
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
3.72
6+ Goals
8%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.55
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
18%
5.26
X/2
8%
5.91
X/X
16%
4.36
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
13%
4.18
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
1.79/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.41
+28% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
16.2 Crosses 19.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.39 xG 1.06
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 Passes 349
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-2 HT 0-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
17.02.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
29.07.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
10.03.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-1 HT 0-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
10.09.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
27.12.2021 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-3 HT 0-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
1-0
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
0.41 xG 1.30
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
330 Passes 339
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven edged past Sporting Charleroi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; OH Leuven found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, OH Leuven had 49% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 51%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.41 to 1.30 — on chances, Sporting Charleroi could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for OH Leuven and 0.50 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Sporting Charleroi?

OH Leuven 1-0 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 40%, draw 30%, Sporting Charleroi 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OH Leuven), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✓ Under 2.5
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