Wydad Fes 2-1 Chabab Ben Guerir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
36%
2.63
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
70%
Over
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.67
No
61%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
43%
4-5
15%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Draw — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.5pp
36%
Draw
35%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
33%
+5.8pp
61%
BTTS No
67%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wydad Fes EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.21/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.09
+14% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wydad Fes
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 1-0 HT 1-0 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes FAS2
25.11.2023 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes 1-1 HT 0-0 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
05.04.2023 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes 3-1 HT 1-1 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
16.10.2022 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 2-0 HT 0-0 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes FAS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wydad Fes
2-1
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wydad Fes vs Chabab Ben Guerir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wydad Fes nicked a narrow win over Chabab Ben Guerir 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 36% / 31% — and on the day Wydad Fes made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wydad Fes had 43% of the ball to Chabab Ben Guerir's 57%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chabab Ben Guerir led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wydad Fes and 1.25 for Chabab Ben Guerir.

What was the final score of Wydad Fes vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Wydad Fes 2-1 Chabab Ben Guerir in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wydad Fes vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Wydad Fes 33%, draw 36%, Chabab Ben Guerir 31%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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