ATK Mohun Bagan 3-2 Kerala Blasters — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.65
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 23%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.36/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.55
+24% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
15.9 Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kerala Blasters
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.25 xG 0.91
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
288 Passes 302
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.03.2024 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 3-4 HT 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
27.12.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 0-1 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
18.02.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 HT 1-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
16.10.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-5 HT 1-2 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
19.02.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-2 HT 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
19.11.2021 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 4-2 HT 3-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
3-2
AWAY Kerala Blasters
1.96 xG 2.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
444 Passes 328
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs Kerala Blasters
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan squeezed past Kerala Blasters 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, ATK Mohun Bagan had 56% of the ball to Kerala Blasters's 44%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.96 to 2.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for ATK Mohun Bagan and 1.83 for Kerala Blasters.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs Kerala Blasters?

ATK Mohun Bagan 3-2 Kerala Blasters in the India - Super League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Kerala Blasters?

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 50%, draw 25%, Kerala Blasters 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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