Bengaluru 2-2 FC Goa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.01
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 28% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Goa EU Bookmakers 39%
+22% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.22/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.25
+24% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
15.9 Crosses 18.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bengaluru
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Goa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 1.10
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
216 Passes 379
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 3-0 HT 0-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
14.03.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 2-1 HT 1-1 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
17.01.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 1-0 HT 0-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HINSK
25.10.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
23.02.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
26.11.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 0-2 HT 0-1 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bengaluru
2-2
AWAY FC Goa
1.81 xG 0.28
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
366 Passes 212
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bengaluru vs FC Goa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bengaluru and FC Goa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bengaluru had 60% of the ball to FC Goa's 40%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.81 to 0.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Goa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bengaluru and 1.17 for FC Goa.

What was the final score of Bengaluru vs FC Goa?

Bengaluru 2-2 FC Goa in the India - Super League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bengaluru vs FC Goa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bengaluru win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bengaluru 39%, draw 28%, FC Goa 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bengaluru), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bengaluru) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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