FC Goa 3-0 Bengaluru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.5
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.41
6+ Goals
13%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 28% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.61/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.34
+11% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.0 Crosses 16.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Goa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bengaluru
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.09 xG 1.03
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
378 Passes 197
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 12
32 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.03.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 2-1 HT 1-1 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
17.01.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 1-0 HT 0-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HINSK
25.10.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
23.02.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
26.11.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 0-2 HT 0-1 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
23.01.2022 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Goa
3-0
AWAY Bengaluru
0.85 xG 0.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
249 Passes 248
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 5
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs Bengaluru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Goa cruised past Bengaluru 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Goa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Goa had 50% of the ball to Bengaluru's 50%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 0.85 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Goa and 1.17 for Bengaluru.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs Bengaluru?

FC Goa 3-0 Bengaluru in the India - Super League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs Bengaluru?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 47%, draw 26%, Bengaluru 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Goa), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Goa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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