Istra 1961 vs Sibenik Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Istra 1961 v Sibenik — Team-Based Signals
Istra 1961 vs Sibenik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Sibenik
HIR
0-0
HT 0-0
Istra 1961
HIR
0-0
HT 0-0
Sibenik
HIR
0-0
HT 0-0
Istra 1961
HIR
1-2
HT 0-2
Sibenik
HIR
Istra 1961 3-3 Sibenik — Actual Match Statistics
Istra 1961 and Sibenik shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Istra 1961 at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Istra 1961 had 51% of the ball to Sibenik's 49%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 2.04 to 0.70.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Istra 1961 and 0.33 for Sibenik.
What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Sibenik?
Istra 1961 3-3 Sibenik in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Sibenik?
Before kick-off our model rated a Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 51%, draw 26%, Sibenik 23%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.