Manchester United U21 5-1 Southampton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.31
No
35%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.3pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.2pp
65%
BTTS Yes
72%
-6.8pp
35%
BTTS No
28%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.62/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.98
-41% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.7 Crosses 12.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Southampton U21
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
29.04.2024 Southampton U21 Southampton U21 3-6 HT 1-2 Manchester United U21 Manchester United U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United U21
5-1
AWAY Southampton U21
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
405 Passes 360
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester United U21 vs Southampton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United U21 ran out comfortable winners over Southampton U21 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester United U21 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Manchester United U21 had 52% of the ball to Southampton U21's 48%, shots finished 17-12.

What was the final score of Manchester United U21 vs Southampton U21?

Manchester United U21 5-1 Southampton U21 in the INGPL2 on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United U21 vs Southampton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Manchester United U21 46%, draw 29%, Southampton U21 24%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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