Southampton U21 3-6 Manchester United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.94
Over 2.5
63%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.29
No
33%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.6pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
22%
+15.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
78%
-15.6pp
67%
BTTS Yes
73%
-6.0pp
33%
BTTS No
27%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.06/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.04
+53% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
449 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.6 Crosses 6.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Southampton U21 vs Manchester United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United U21 cruised past Southampton U21 6-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Southampton U21 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (67%) came in.

What was the final score of Southampton U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Southampton U21 3-6 Manchester United U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southampton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Southampton U21 49%, draw 21%, Manchester United U21 30%. The final score 3-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Southampton U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southampton U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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