Derby County U21 3-0 Everton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
52%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.63
Over 2.5
68%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.0pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.0pp
52%
Away Win
49%
+2.9pp
32%
Under 2.5
34%
-1.8pp
68%
Over 2.5
66%
+1.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.7pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derby County U21 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton U21 EU Bookmakers 53%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.51/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.60
-63% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / +115%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.1 Crosses 19.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derby County U21
3-0
AWAY Everton U21
1.26 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
409 Passes 329
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
9 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Derby County U21 vs Everton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derby County U21 cruised past Everton U21 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Everton U21 at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (68%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, Derby County U21 had 55% of the ball to Everton U21's 45%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.26 to 1.16.

What was the final score of Derby County U21 vs Everton U21?

Derby County U21 3-0 Everton U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derby County U21 vs Everton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Everton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Derby County U21 29%, draw 19%, Everton U21 52%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Everton U21), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Everton U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPL2-1 More England - Premier League 2 (League 1)
29 Apr 2024
14:00 Southampton U21 vs Manchester United U21 Analysis →
21:00 Nottingham Forest U21 vs Reading U21 Analysis →
21:00 Wolverhampton U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 Analysis →
21:00 Newcastle United U21 vs Aston Villa U21 Analysis →
21:00 West Bromwich Albion U21 vs Leeds United U21 Analysis →
21:00 Crystal Palace U21 vs Tottenham U21 Analysis →