Newcastle United U21 vs Aston Villa U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle United U21 v Aston Villa U21 — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle United U21 0-1 Aston Villa U21 — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa U21 nicked a narrow win over Newcastle United U21 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (39% / 22% / 39%) promised a tight game; Aston Villa U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (68%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Newcastle United U21 had 50% of the ball to Aston Villa U21's 50%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.38 to 1.50.
What was the final score of Newcastle United U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Newcastle United U21 0-1 Aston Villa U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle United U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United U21 39%, draw 22%, Aston Villa U21 39%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.