Ards FC 0-1 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2024

Ards FC
0-1
Newry City AFC
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Ards FC vs Newry City AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.27
2-3 Goals
44%
1.95
4-5 Goals
21%
2.52
6+ Goals
12%
5.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.1pp
30%
Draw
21%
+9.1pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ards FC v Newry City AFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
2.13/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.71
+7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / +13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards –

Ards FC vs Newry City AFC Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Newry City AFC
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.10.2024 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-4 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
12.03.2022 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 4-0 HT 2-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
04.02.2022 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRK
29.10.2021 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
27.08.2021 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 2-1 HT 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newry City AFC edged past Ards FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ards FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Newry City AFC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Ards FC and 1.80 for Newry City AFC.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Newry City AFC?

Ards FC 0-1 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 44%, draw 30%, Newry City AFC 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ards FC) ✗ BTTS Yes
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